Tomorrow, voters in three states will go to the polls to express their first preferences for the races in their respective states. Perhaps the most intriguing of the match-ups will be the Republican Primary in Ohio. Republicans are likely to have a reasonable turnout due largely to the Gubernatorial contest between Secretary of State Ken Blackwell and Attorney General Jim Petro. This could lead to some interesting results in the Senate primary.
Although Sen. Mike DeWine is the odds-on favorite, his path to the nomination has not been without its fair share of bumps in the road. His participation in the Gang of 14 agreement was a major reason that Republicans nearly lost the special election in the heavily Republican Second Congressional District. Now, voters who go to the polls for another race will have their chance to give Senator DeWine a piece of their minds.
Tomorrow`s primary will probably be a better indicator than any poll as to where exactly the incumbent stands heading into the November election. Being a two-term Senator without well-financed primary opposition, DeWine should rack up 75-80 percent of the vote. 70 percent would be somewhat respectable. Anything below that should set off the alarm bells in the DeWine campaign.
When Rep. Tom DeLay finished below expectations, he decided to call it quits. If Sen. DeWine falls below expectations, might he do the same.